期刊论文

DYNAMIC ANALYSIS OF AGRICULTURAL GROWTH AND ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION———VERIFICATION BASED ON PANEL DATA FROM 2006 TO 2015

中文

中国农业资源与区划

1005-9121

2018

39

12

138-145

10.7621/cjarrp.1005-9121.20181219

国家自然科学基金青年项目“农业发展的低碳转型:进程评估、影响因素及推进策略”（71403199）； 湖北省教育厅哲学社会科学研究重大项目“经济新常态下的农业发展与环境污染:现状、源泉与治理机制”（16ZD027）；

本校为第一机构

[目的]近年来,我国农业面源污染形势严峻,已经成为现代农业发展的瓶颈。文章主要分析农业面源污染与经济增长的关系,寻求解决农业面源污染问题的有效方法,在一定程度上为我国农业可持续发展和环境治理提出相关政策建议。[方法]选取2006—2015年全国31个省(省份、自治区)的面板数据,以农药、化肥、塑料薄膜流失量作为农业污染排放的主要指标,建立简约式模型考察农业环境的库茨涅茨曲线特征。[结果](1)农业环境库茨涅茨曲线在我国基本得到支持。化肥流失量、农药流失量、塑料薄膜残留量与农业总产值间均存在显著的倒U型曲线关系,除了山东、河南部分年份达到了农药、塑料薄膜污染方程的拐点之外,其...

In recent years,the situation of agricultural non-point source pollution in China has become a bottleneck in the development of modern agriculture. This paper mainly analyzed the relationship between agricultural non-point source pollution and economic growth,and searched for effective methods to solve the problem of agricultural non-point source pollution. Some suggestions were put forward for the sustainable development of agriculture and environmental management in China. A simplified model was built to investigate the characteristics of Kuznets curve of agricultural environment using the p...