期刊论文

Research on Bus Travel Behavior of the Elderly Based on Bayesian Network

中文

武汉理工大学学报(交通科学与工程版)

2095-3844

2022

46

3

428-432and437

10.3963/j.issn.2095-3844.2022.03.009

国家自然科学基金(51578247)。

本校为其他机构

老年人数量及比例的增加对交通出行产生一系列影响，而公交出行又是老年人十分依赖的一种出行方式。本文结合肇庆市公交出行调查数据，利用贝叶斯网络，建立了老年人个体特征、公交客观指标、出行者主观评价及出行意愿相关联的贝叶斯网络模型。并通过贝叶斯推理，分析了各类因素对于老年人使用公交总体满意度、使用公交意愿的影响程度。研究结果表明，总体满意度、使用公交意愿会受到公交客观指标、出行者主观评价的影响，而不会受到个体特征的影响；总体满意度、是否推荐他人使用公交受到各类因素的影响最大，而使用公交频率、是否优先选择公交车受到各类因素的影响较小；在各类影响因素中，换...

The increase of the number and proportion of the elderly has a series of impacts on transportation, and public transportation is a kind of travel mode that the elderly rely on very much. Based on the survey data of public transportation in Zhaoqing city, a Bayesian network model related to individual characteristics of the elderly, objective indicators of public transportation, subjective evaluation of travelers and willingness to travel was established. Through Bayesian inference, the influence of various factors on the overall satisfaction an...