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A novel grey seasonal model based on cycle accumulation generation for forecasting energy consumption in China

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成果类型:
期刊论文
作者:
Zhou, Weijie;Pan, Jiao;Tao, Huihui;Ding, Song;Chen, Li;...
通讯作者:
Ding, S.
作者机构:
[Chen, Li; Zhao, Xiaoke; Zhou, Weijie] Changzhou Univ, Sch Econ, Changzhou 213159, Peoples R China.
[Tao, Huihui; Chen, Li; Zhao, Xiaoke; Zhou, Weijie] Changzhou Univ, Sch Business, Changzhou 213159, Peoples R China.
[Ding, Song] Zhejiang Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Econ, Hangzhou 310018, Peoples R China.
[Pan, Jiao] Weifang Vocat Coll, Int Business Sch, Weifang 261041, Peoples R China.
通讯机构:
School of Economics, Zhejiang University of Finance and Economics, Hangzhou, China
语种:
英文
关键词:
Energy consumption;Mobile holiday effect;Cycle accumulation generation;Grey model
期刊:
Computers & Industrial Engineering
ISSN:
0360-8352
年:
2022
卷:
163
页码:
107725-
机构署名:
本校为其他机构
摘要:
For time series forecasting, the mobile holiday effect typically brings certain difficulty in obtaining accurate forecasts for monthly and quarterly series since it can result in enormous disturbances for modeling, especially for the sequences with limited information and much uncertainty. This study proposes a discrete grey seasonal model by cycle accumulation generation as an alternative approach to seasonal time series forecasting to effectively address such issues. Moreover, the logarithmic transformation technique is introduced to enhance ...

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