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Crude Oil Prices Forecast Based on EMD and BP Neural Network

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成果类型:
期刊论文、会议论文
作者:
Hua Yang;Yunfei Zhang;Feng Jiang
通讯作者:
Jiang, Feng(jeff20@163.com)
作者机构:
[Hua Yang] School of Mathematics and Computer Science, Wuhan Polytechnic University, Wuhan
430023, China
[Yunfei Zhang; Feng Jiang] School of Statistics and Mathematics, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, Wuhan
430073, China
[Hua Yang] 430023, China
语种:
英文
关键词:
Oil price forecasting;Empirical mode decomposition;Back propagation neural network;Least square support vector regression
期刊:
Chinese Control Conference
ISSN:
1934-1768
年:
2019
卷:
2019-July
页码:
8944-8949
会议名称:
2019 Chinese Control Conference (CCC)
会议论文集名称:
2019 Chinese Control Conference (CCC)
会议时间:
July 2019
会议地点:
Guangzhou, China
会议主办单位:
(1) School of Mathematics and Computer Science, Wuhan Polytechnic University, Wuhan; 430023, China; (2) School of Statistics and Mathematics, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, Wuhan; 430073, China
会议赞助商:
Chinese Association of Automation (CAA); Guangdong University of Technology; Systems Engineering Society of China (SESC); Technical Committee on Control Theory (TCCT), Chinese Association of Automation (CAA)
出版者:
IEEE
ISBN:
978-1-7281-2329-5
机构署名:
本校为第一机构
院系归属:
数学与计算机学院
摘要:
The frequent fluctuations in international crude oil prices may affect the stability of the global economy and society. The fluctuation of crude oil prices has nonlinearity, uncertainty and volatility, which bring certain challenges for forecasting crude oil prices. In this paper we use hybrid model with the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN) to predict the crude oil prices. To improve the accuracy of prediction, we firstly decompose the crude oil prices data into a series of independent intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) and residual sequences by the em...

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